Times of India | 6 days ago | 14-05-2022 | 01:08 am
Panaji: The monsoon may hit Goa marginally earlier this year, as India meteorological department (IMD) said on Friday that it will reach Kerala around May 27, a few days earlier than the normal onset date of May 1. Even as the IMD issues a forecast for the monsoon’s onset over Kerala, it doesn’t predict its progression as it moves north towards Goa. This is because the monsoon’s progress depends on factors such as strength of the current and localised weather features. “The normal onset date of monsoon over Kerala is June 1 and normal date of progress of monsoon over Goa is June 5. This year, monsoon onset is likely over Kerala 4-5 days ahead of its normal date,” IMD scientist Rahul M said. The prediction of May 27 is subject to a model error of plus or minus four days. Rahul said that the data from the past decade or so suggests that there’s no correlation between the monsoon’s arrival in Kerala and its reaching Goa. “There are several examples to show that there may not always be a four-day gap between monsoon onset over Kerala and monsoon advance over Goa,” he said. “Two years – 2017 and 2018 – the monsoon onset was before the normal date over Kerala, but it arrived over Goa two to three days later than the normal date. Whereas in 2021, it arrived on the normal date over Goa, even though the onset date over Kerala was two days late,” he said.
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